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Jeremiah Johnson's avatar

"I should note here that every time you see a major incident in China, whether it’s a truck driving into a train or wildfires or terroristic attacks like these, there’s a good chance there is precisely 35 people dead. This is because by China’s laws, if a public safety incident causes 36 death or more, than the mayor will get fired."

This was something I had no idea about, thanks for sharing.

Derek's avatar

Moly, I've been reading your substack for two years now. I find your takes overall to be fair and accurate.

However I strongly disagree with you about the 36 death rule. It just doesn't make any sense at all. The threshold is too high for it to apply frequently enough to be a rule.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_massacres_in_China#2000%E2%80%93present

You can see here 35 appears twice but that's only including the dead attackers.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_rampage_killers_in_China

On this list, 35 occurs only once, the current Zhuhai incident.

Basically there is no evidence at all that 35 comes up frequently as the number of victims because 36 would be too high.

Furthermore, I find it doubtful in a case such as this with national attention that the local government has the capability to hide the total deaths from the central government.

I'm writing this comment because this post has been screenshotted and shared on twitter as evidence of Chinese malice and depravity. In a time where Sinophobia is especially high in the Western world, this is not helpful to us.

https://x.com/JeremiahDJohns/status/1856585791872335874

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